Ripple (XRP) is under increasing downward pressure as it completely breaks below the $1.40 level, which had been a key benchmark for price formation. Experts analyze that a clear signal of a structural bearish reversal has emerged through the price decline accompanied by trading volume. The support line of $1.40, which has been steadily held for recent weeks, has clearly collapsed. In particular, as the price fell with increasing volume, a technical pattern known as a "falling triangle" was resolved downwards. Consequently, the past strong support line has now become a strong resistance line, and market leadership is interpreted as having shifted back to the selling side.
Technical indicator analysis also clearly reveals a weak trend. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), a moving average difference indicator, has formed a bearish crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, has dropped to the 46 level, showing that momentum is slowing down. Additionally, the fact that Bitcoin's market dominance exceeds 60%, with capital flowing out of altcoins, is acting as a significant burden. In this environment, Ripple is trading sideways in a narrow box between $1.38 and $1.39. In the short term, $1.40 is acting as a key resistance level. The lower support level is at $1.37, and an additional zone between $1.32 and $1.31 is being discussed.
Some analysts are viewing $1.38 as the "last defense line" and are warning that if this zone collapses, the price could drop rapidly to $1.31. According to Bollinger Bands, the $1.29 to $1.30 zone is mentioned as the cycle's low point, and if this zone is also breached, a larger decline is expected. Conversely, a short-term rebound scenario also clearly exists. If $1.40 is re-broken with accompanying trading volume in the next trading session, this decline could be confirmed as a "fake out." If it then surpasses $1.43 to $1.45, there is a high likelihood that the recovery path will open up to the $1.50 to $1.55 zone.
A noteworthy point is that institutional capital inflows are continuing despite the weak price. In the recent week, capital has flowed into Ripple-related ether products, with net inflows reaching between $15.74 million and $25 million, maintaining institutional demand. This decline has again exposed the risk of rotational market conditions affecting medium-sized altcoins; in a Bitcoin-dominated market, upside potential is limited, and the downside expands more significantly when support lines collapse. Ultimately, Ripple's short-term trend depends on whether it can recover to $1.40. Amidst continuing technical weakness, the market's attention is focused on whether non-price signals such as institutional capital inflows can serve as clues for a rebound.