According to a U.S. prediction market report dated October 8 at 9:05 a.m., Bitcoin’s year‑end target of $10,000 has fallen to a probability of only 33%, down 8 percentage points from the previous day. The chance that it will climb above $12,000 is just 10%, and higher price levels are almost negligible.
Ethereum’s year‑end target of surpassing $3,500 now carries a 21% probability, also down 8 percentage points from the prior day. For XRP, the likelihood of breaking through $2.00 is 36%, with its daily movement slipping by 11 percentage points.
The outlook for XRP has swung considerably over the past few weeks. On August 9 it stood at 24%, rose to 61% on September 23, and now sits around 36%. Despite these changes, Bitcoin and Ethereum still maintain strong optimism.
For Bitcoin, the probability of breaking $8,750 by the end of October is 59%; with a current rise of 5.1% from yesterday, it can reach its target. The chance of topping $9,000 is also projected at 38%.
Ethereum’s chances of breaking $3,000 are 22%, while XRP’s probability of surpassing $1.60 is the highest at 39%. At present, Bitcoin trades at $8,326 with a decline of 2.63% from yesterday; Ethereum at $2,573, and XRP at $1.42.