The cryptocurrency market has continued its downward trend, with the end‑of‑year targets for major coins falling in dollar terms. According to the KAS prediction market as of September 29, Bitcoin’s price fell 3 ppts from the previous day, reducing the likelihood of it reaching $100,000 by year‑end to 36 %, and that of hitting $120,000 to 14 %. This adjustment dampens investor sentiment, increasing volatility in the market.
Ethereum is also projected to have a 31 % chance of hitting $3,500 at year‑end, falling 2 ppts from the previous day. XRP’s probability of reaching $2 at year‑end fell by 9 ppts to 46 %. In particular, XRP’s volatility has increased sharply; it rose from 20 % at the end of July to 61 % in early September, but is now settled around 46 %. This trend suggests that Bitcoin and Ethereum price forecasts are moving in a similar direction, adding uncertainty across the market.
For Bitcoin, the chance of reaching $87,500 by year‑end is 6 %, with only a 4.8 % probability of rising from the current level. The possibility of hitting $90,000 remains at 3 %, but overall volatility exists. Ethereum’s probability of reaching $3,000 is 2 %, while XRP’s chance of hitting $1.7 is 7 %, the highest among them. These probabilities can serve as reference points for investors when selecting coins.
At present, Bitcoin trades at $83,494, down 1.23 % from the previous day; Ethereum trades at $2,689, and XRP at $1.50. With these figures, investors may analyze market direction more carefully.