As of December 21, at the U.S. prediction market Kalshi, the probability that XRP will exceed $2 by year‑end rose 6 percentage points to 27%. At the same time, Bitcoin had a 35% chance of reaching $87,500 by the end of October and a 22% chance of surpassing $100,000 by the end of December.
The prediction market has closely analyzed price movements for each coin toward year‑end. According to aggregated data, Bitcoin’s probability of hitting $100,000 at year‑end is 22%, and it rose 2 percentage points that day.
At the same time, Ethereum’s chance of exceeding $3,500 by year‑end is 17%; XRP’s likelihood of surpassing $2 by year‑end has risen to 27%.
Particularly, XRP’s outlook for year‑end has fluctuated heavily in recent weeks. It was predicted at 46% on August 22; rose to 61% on September 23; now it holds around 27%.
Bitcoin also has a 35% chance of surpassing $87,500 by the end of October; its probability increased only 5.6% at that time.
Ethereum and XRP’s year‑end targets are $3,000 and $1.60 respectively, both coins show high expectations.
Bitcoin trades at $82,896, up 1.31% from yesterday; Ethereum at $2,445; XRP at $1.33.