The projected price movements of virtual assets toward year‑end have attracted significant attention among market participants and analysts. As of the end of October, Bitcoin’s probability of exceeding $100,000 was 21%, up 4 percentage points from the previous day. At that same time Ethereum had a 12% chance to reach $3,500, while XRP’s probability of surpassing $2,000 at year‑end fell by 5 percentage points to 22%.
Analysts noted that as of September 23, XRP’s probability of reaching $2,000 rose sharply to 61%, but it has since returned to about 22%. Such fluctuations have significantly altered the year‑end targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, affecting investors’ risk perception.
Bitcoin’s probability of hitting $8,750 remains at 5%, while current market conditions indicate a potential of 8.4% to surpass $84,000, implying that $90,000 has a 3% expectation. Ethereum’s year‑end probability to reach $3,000 is 3%, and XRP’s highest target price of $1,600 appears at 7%.
Looking at the current trading volume, Bitcoin trades up 0.83% from the previous day at $84,747; Ethereum trades at $2,345, and XRP at $1,330. These market fluctuations and price forecasts will serve as important reference data for understanding volatility in the virtual asset market and forming investment strategies.